Were the earthquake and tsunami at Fukushima Daiichi “unforeseeable events”? Listen to some technical opinions, including those of Woody and his mentor, Professor Ninokata. Then you make your own judgement.
Author Archives: Woody
PRA White Paper – the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami
Woody wrote this white paper for his sponsor at the Tokyo Inst. of Tech., Professor Ninokata, at the end of April, 2011. His analysis preceded those of the NRC, MIT, HSE, and the IAEA. Download the white paper as PDF
A PRA Practioner looks at the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami
Woody wrote this white paper for his sponser at the Tokyo Inst. of Tech., Professor Ninokata, at the end of April, 2011. His analysis preceded those of the NRC, MIT, HSE, and the IAEA.
Unforeseen Events, Resilience, and PRA
I gave a presentation at the second Resilience Engineering Symposium on November 6th, 2006. The accompanying article was included in the book, Resilience Engineering: Remaining Sensitive to the Possibilities of Failure, E. Hollnagel, et. al, editors (Ashgate Press), 2007, under the title “Unexampled Events, Resilience, and PRA”. The words of the presentation have remained the …
Unforeseen Events, Resilience and PRA
A 2011 update to the 2006 paper on “Unexampled Events, Resilience, and PRA”, with specific relevance to the recent events in Japan.